Corporate Finance

DCF Valuation: Step-by-Step Guide for Indian Businesses

FININ2MIN RESEARCH Updated Jun 2026 · 8 min read

DCF valuation is the most misused and least understood tool in Indian corporate finance. Bankers use it to justify predetermined conclusions. Founders use it to support unrealistic multiples. Here is the methodologically correct version — with India-specific adjustments for WACC, terminal value, and working capital.

The DCF Framework: Five Steps

  1. Project Free Cash Flows (FCF) for 5–10 years
  2. Calculate WACC (the discount rate)
  3. Calculate Terminal Value (value beyond the projection period)
  4. Discount all cash flows to present value
  5. Build a sensitivity table (WACC × terminal growth rate)

Step 1: Free Cash Flow — What You're Actually Projecting

Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) is the cash available to all capital providers (debt and equity) after reinvestment needs:

FCFF = EBIT × (1 – Tax Rate) + D&A – Capex – ΔWorking Capital

The most common error in Indian SME DCFs: using EBITDA as a proxy for cash flow without accounting for working capital intensity.

ItemYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue (₹ Cr)506582100118
EBITDA (18% margin)9.011.714.818.021.2
EBIT (after D&A ₹2Cr/yr)7.09.712.816.019.2
NOPAT (25% tax)5.257.289.612.014.4
Add: D&A2.02.02.02.02.0
Less: Capex3.52.52.53.03.0
Less: ΔWorking Capital1.82.32.93.54.2
FCFF1.954.486.27.59.2

Step 2: WACC Calculation for Indian Businesses

WACC = (E/V × Ke) + (D/V × Kd × (1 – Tax Rate))

ComponentIndia 2026Source
Risk-Free Rate6.85–7.0%10-year G-Sec yield
Equity Risk Premium (ERP)6.0–8.0%Damodaran India ERP estimate
Beta (sector-adjusted)0.8–1.4NSE sector beta
Size Premium (SME)2.0–4.0%Additional risk for illiquidity
Cost of Equity (Ke)13.5–17.5%CAPM + size premium
Cost of Debt (Kd, post-tax)7.5–9.0%Bank lending rate × (1–0.25)
Typical WACC Range12–16%

Step 3: Terminal Value — The Most Sensitive Input

Terminal Value typically represents 60–75% of the total enterprise value. Two methods:

India-specific guidance on g: Use 4–5% as a maximum sustainable perpetuity growth rate (India's nominal GDP growth ≈ 10–11%; assume company converges to half of that in perpetuity). Using 7–8% g inflates value by 40–60% and is unjustifiable for most businesses.

Step 4: Sensitivity Table — Always Build This

Enterprise value varies enormously with WACC and terminal growth assumptions:

WACC \ g3%4%5%6%
12%₹82 Cr₹96 Cr₹115 Cr₹142 Cr
13%₹71 Cr₹81 Cr₹95 Cr₹114 Cr
14%₹62 Cr₹70 Cr₹80 Cr₹94 Cr
15%₹55 Cr₹61 Cr₹69 Cr₹79 Cr
16%₹49 Cr₹54 Cr₹60 Cr₹68 Cr

This range of ₹49–₹142 Cr illustrates why "DCF says X" is meaningless without disclosing assumptions. Always present a sensitivity table.

Common Mistakes in Indian SME Valuations

Frequently Asked Questions

What is DCF valuation and how does it work?
DCF estimates intrinsic business value by projecting future Free Cash Flows and discounting them to present value at WACC. EV = Σ[FCFt / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n. It is the most fundamentally sound method because it is based on actual cash generation, not multiples or accounting profits.
What WACC is appropriate for Indian businesses?
Ke = Risk-free rate (6.85–7%) + Beta × ERP (6–8%) + Size premium (2–4% for SMEs) = 13.5–17.5%. Post-tax Kd ≈ 7.5–9%. Blended WACC: typically 12–16% for Indian mid-market companies in 2026. Use the upper end for early-stage or capital-intensive businesses.
What terminal growth rate should I use for India?
Maximum 4–5% for most Indian businesses. India's nominal GDP growth is ~10–11%, but mature businesses grow at a fraction of the economy. Using 7–8% g is common in banker presentations but mathematically unjustifiable — it implies the business will eventually become larger than the entire economy.
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